Truck Industry Tech

Using online platforms, autonomy, electric and fuel-cell tech solutions to shape the future of trucking.

Overview

Tools and technologies shaping the future of trucking

Truck industry tech players are introducing next-generation technologies and tools, collectively referred to as “Truck Industry Tech,” comprising route planning and freight management apps, driving assist platforms, autonomous trucks, and electric and fuel cell truck components.

These tech solutions aim to shape the future of the truck industry by improving road safety and fuel efficiency while moving traditional freight matching and route planning online, providing convenience and cost savings for truck drivers, fleets, and shippers. The Internet of Things (IoT), sensors, and camera technologies have become essential to fueling the industry’s advancements.

Route planning, online freight matching platforms, and Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) Level 1 autonomous technology are in the commercial stage, whereas autonomous trucks (SAE level 4 and 5) and electric and fuel cell trucks are still in the early commercial stages.

Industry Updates

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Market Sizing

The US Truck Industry Tech market could reach USD 44.0 billion–65.4 billion by 2033

Conservative case

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Base case

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Expansion case

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Market Mapping


Startups dominate the Truck Industry Tech space, particularly in the online freight platforms segment. Despite being relatively capital-intensive, segments like autonomous trucks and electric and fuel cell trucks have attracted considerable startup activity, boosted by the self-driving vehicle industry and the declining cost of autonomous technologies in general. For example, Alphabet’s Waymo managed to bring its Laser Bear Honeycomb LiDAR prices down by around 90% to roughly USD 7,500 by 2019 from the industry norm of USD 75,000 a few years before.

All the players in the online freight platforms and route planning apps segments have commercialized their product offerings and operate either in Go-to-Market or Expansion stages. However, most of the autonomous vehicle tech developers, some safety and driving assist tools providers, and electric and fuel cell truck makers are yet to commercialize their product offerings and are hence classified as Ideation or Minimum Viable Product.

Most of the incumbents operating in the space are either automotive companies such as Toyota, Tesla, General Motors, Volvo, and Daimler or tech giants such as Uber. Incumbents in the route planning and online freight platforms space also include truck stop and travel center companies like TravelCenters of America and Love's Travel Stops as well as established road travel planning and freight matching companies such as Trimble MAPS,  Zonar, and Direct Freight Services.

The Disruptors


The most prominent disruptors in the industry come from the electric and fuel cell trucks, and autonomous trucks segments—raising USD 5.6 billion and USD 5.4 billion, respectively (as of July 2024). These segments, despite having few disruptors, attract significant investor interest due to the high funding required for complex product development. Leading the charge, publicly listed companies Aurora Innovation and Nikola Motor Company (Nikola) have raised USD 3.7 billion and USD 3.4 billion, respectively, focusing on autonomous trucks and electric and fuel cell trucks.

Most disruptors operate in the online freight platforms segment, raising USD 1.8 billion in funding collectively, as of July 2024. These companies have reached commercial-scale operations, with all companies operating in Go-to-Market or Expansion stages. Flock Freight is the highest-funded company in this segment, raising USD 399 million as of July 2024. Germany-based Sennder and Loadsmart are the other prominent online freight platform providers, both having raised more than USD 300 million as of July 2024.

The industry also includes several companies that have been listed or propose to be listed via special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs), including electric and fuel cell truck makers Hyzon Motors, XOS, and REE Automtove, and autonomous truck maker Aurora Innovation.

Funding History

Competitive Analysis


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Product Overview
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Incumbents


Incumbents in the autonomous and alternative fuel truck space are well-established truck manufacturers, with the majority offering self-driving tech as well. For example, Volvo Trucks develops its own autonomous truck dubbed “Vera” while also offering a collision mitigation system called 'Volvo Active Driver Assist.'

Incumbents in the route planning and online freight platforms space include truck stop and travel center companies that introduce their own apps (TravelCenters of America, Love's Travel Stops), as well as other established road travel planning and freight matching companies with separate apps for truck drivers (Trimble MAPS, Zonar, and Direct Freight Services).

In House Development
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Notable Investors


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Market Sizing

The US addressable market for Truck Industry Tech is estimated at USD 125.5 billion  

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the actual market is the market size based on revenue projections. 
The combined TAM for autonomous trucks, electric trucks, and digital freight platforms in the US is estimated to be USD 125.5 billion per annum, which is comprised of 1) autonomous trucks (USD 30.2 billion), 2) electric trucks (USD 88.5 billion), including fuel-cell electric (FCEV) and battery-electric (BEV) trucks, and 3) online freight platforms (USD 6.8 billion). The TAM calculations exclude safety and driving assist tool providers and route planning apps, given that the former is mainly dominated by incumbents and autonomous truck developers, and the latter is a comparatively smaller market, also dominated by incumbents.
See the Appendix for more details on the assumptions for TAM estimates.
The TAM estimates for autonomous and electric trucks are presented based on a “Truck-as-a-Service” (TaaS) model, where truck manufacturers charge users a fee based on miles driven. This model has been proposed by operators such as TuSimple and Einride, and it allows the TAM to be presented on an annual revenue basis. In practice, the scenario is more likely to be a mix of the TaaS model and the “outright sales” model; however, the TAM and market sizing projections are presented assuming that 100% adhere to the TaaS model for illustrative purposes. 
The actual market for Truck Industry Tech (autonomous trucks, electric trucks, and digital freight platforms) in the US in 2023 was estimated to be USD 3.2 billion, indicating a penetration of 2.6%. Given that both autonomous trucks and FCEV trucks are not commercially available yet, this estimate only includes BEVs and online freight platforms. The market is expected to grow at a ten-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.7% over 2023-2033 to reach USD 54.7 billion by 2033, which will translate to an annual penetration of 43.6%. 
Our conservative case expects the market to grow at a ten-year CAGR of 29.9% to reach USD 44.0 billion by 2033 (35.1% penetration rate), assuming slower development of technology, slower adoption of zero-emission trucks, and state authorities adversely regulating autonomous technology.
Our expansion case assumes accelerated progress toward next-generation technology and related infrastructure, government-imposed net-zero emission targets being implemented earlier than expected, and the for-hire truck market growing faster amid the rising trend toward e-commerce. An increase in adoption could spur market growth at a higher CAGR of 35.1% to reach USD 65.4 billion by 2033 (52.1% market penetration). 
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