Space Travel and Exploration Tech

Technology to explore opportunities beyond Earth

Overview

Life is still far from becoming the long-promised multi-planetary stage. But rest assured, it is slowly and surely going in that direction. The increase in population is taking a toll on Earth’s finite resources, and experts and astronauts believe that humans must become a multi-planetary species and colonize other planets for long-term survival. 

Thanks to the competitive market created by the rise of private players, the cost of space flight and access to space has decreased dramatically over the decades. The new space economy has resulted in startups competing in new segments such as space tourism and space mining to open up space access to humans. While space tourism is currently aimed at the elite wealthy due to its high price tag, it has the potential to be more accessible in the future when costs decline.

Industry Updates

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Market Sizing

The US Space Travel and Exploration Tech market could reach USD 2.5 billion–7.3 billion by 2030

Conservative case

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Base case

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Expansion case

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Market Mapping


Space travel and space launch startups are the most established and prominent

Space travel and space launch startups are the most common, consisting mainly of somewhat mature companies, mostly in the expansion stage. Space Stations is another segment of the expansion and go-to-market stage companies, although with a limited number of players.

Space debris management segment consists of a mix of somewhat established disruptors who are involved in debris tracking while disruptors that solely focus on debris removal are at the minimum viable product or ideation stages. Space mining is a nascent segment, which is yet to be commercialised with several minimum viable product and ideation stage disruptors.

The Disruptors


Includes some of the most well-funded startups such as SpaceX, which is one of the most valuable startups in the US

The industry is well funded and includes government funding as government agencies provide funds toward space technology every year, in an attempt to encourage private companies to participate in space activities.  

SpaceX is the highest funded, having raised almost 6x as much as the next highest, Sierra Space. Billionaire Elon Musk’s SpaceX is one of the most valuable startups in the US, while other notable players include billionaire Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin and billionaire Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic, which is listed.

Funding History

Competitive Analysis


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Product Overview
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Product Metrics
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Company profile
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Incumbents


Aerospace and defense majors moving toward next-gen space tech

Leading aerospace and defense companies (such as Lockheed Martin and Boeing) have had an active involvement in space activities for over 50 years. More recently, aerospace and national security contractor Sierra Nevada, which engaged in space activities, spun off its space division in 2021 into a separate entity, Sierra Space, to reflect the growth potential it foresees for the space segment.

While a majority of incumbents are from the aerospace and defense industry, there have also been exceptions such as Obayashi Corporation, which is a Japanese construction giant that entered the next-gen space segment through the proposal of a space elevator, slated for completion in 2050. 

Almost all major incumbents engage in in-house developments, while Thales Group engages in space activities through a strategic partnership (called Space Alliance) with Italian aerospace company Leonardo.

In House Development
M&A
Partnership
Investment
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Notable Investors


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Market Sizing

Total addressable market for next-gen space tech in the US is estimated at USD 478 billion

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the actual market is the market size based on revenue projections. 
The TAM for the US next-gen space tech is estimated at USD 478.1 billion. Space travel is currently our largest segment, followed by space debris removal. The space stations segment is comparatively small, as we have only focused on the use case for space travelers and astronauts. We have excluded space mining and space explorations robots from our market sizing, as both segments are at very early stages of development.
The actual market for US space travel and exploration tech is estimated to be USD 0.9 billion in 2022. The market is expected to grow at a eight-year CAGR of 23.6%, reaching USD 5 billion by 2030, with a low penetration rate of around 0.2%.
Our conservative case expects the market to grow at a eight-year CAGR of 13.6%, reaching USD 2.5 billion by 2030. The conservative case assumes lower activities with delayed launches, especially delayed operations of space debris removal. On the other hand, our expansion case expects the market to grow at a eight-year CAGR of 29.9%, reaching USD 7.3 billion by 2030 with a 1.5% penetration. The expansion case assumes higher flight launches, especially in the orbital space, which would also result in higher space station use.

Appendix

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