Retail Trading Infrastructure

Retail investors demanding sophisticated passive investment strategies are looking for an edge.

Overview

Retail trading infrastructure for low-cost and flexible wealth management

Retail trading and wealth management have seen significant changes as a result of digital transformation. Among these, the emergence of robo-advisory platforms has been among the most notable developments. Robo-advisory platforms use algorithms to provide automated investment advice and management services (asset allocation, portfolio rebalancing, and other related services) based on clients’ investment goals and risk tolerance. Most use either low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or index funds as investment vehicles.

Apart from robo-advisory services, online trading platforms have also emerged as a tool for investors to trade various securities such as stocks, ETFs, and options directly via digital platforms, luring investors with commission-free trading facilities. While robo-advisors offer investors a passive form of investing, online trading platforms enable investors to actively engage in day-to-day trading activities.

Industry Updates

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Market Sizing

The US market for retail robo-advisory platforms could reach USD 17.4 billion–25.8 billion by 2028

Conservative case

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Base case

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Expansion case

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Market Mapping


The retail trading industry comprises robo-advisors, online trading platforms, and digital infrastructure providers. Among robo-advisors, the industry is further split into three segments, based on their product offering (hybrid vs. digital) and target market.

Robo-advisors that offer hybrid services to consumers and online trading platforms contribute to the bulk of companies in the industry and include established players such as Wealthsimple, Betterment, and Robinhood. The robo-advisory (B2C: Hybrid) segment hosts several incumbents such as Vanguard, Charles Schwab, and Wells Fargo. Robo-advisors that are digital pure players include the likes of M1 Finance, Acorns, and Wealthfront, while those that offer B2B services are limited and include a few companies such as Guideline and Blooom.

Online trading platforms mainly focus on directly offering trading options to consumers and include established players such as Robinhood, Webull, and Moomoo. Players in the space have also branched out to offer cryptocurrency, futures, and commodities trading and banking services.

The Disruptors


Wealthsimple stands as the highest-funded disruptor in the robo-advisory space, with a total of USD 900.4 million as of June 2024. The company is a hybrid operator in the B2C space, combining digital robo advisory with human expertise, and holds a significant lead over the second-largest player in the space, Betterment, which had USD 435.0 million in funding as of the same date.

Other notable players include Scalable Capital, Wealthfront, and SigFig, which have been around for more than a decade and are well known in the robo advisory space. These companies compete in the mass market by offering a wide variety of features. Both Betterment and SigFig have also partnered with businesses, such as advisory firms and banks, to expand their respective client bases.

Smaller players often differentiate themselves by catering to specific clientele (such as female investors, non-resident investors, Halal investing, and employer-sponsored retirement accounts), responding to the fact that customers tend to feel more secure with personalized services rather than the generic offerings.

Among online trading platforms, Robinhood stands as the largest player and is also the only publicly-traded company in the space, having been listed on the NASDAQ in July 2021 at a valuation of USD 32 billion. Other notable players include Trade Republic, Public.com, and eToro, who have collectively raised over USD 2 billion in funding to date.

Funding History

Competitive Analysis


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Product Overview
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Incumbents


Incumbents mainly enter the retail trading space through in-house development and acquisitions

The incumbents include financial institutions such as asset management companies, brokerages, advisory firms, and banks. Most provide digital services primarily to accommodate demand for low-cost advisory services from existing clients and sophisticated investors. The incumbents generally charge slightly higher fees than the disruptors (e.g. 0.30% vs. 0.25%) and require higher minimum balances for standard services.

The incumbents have mainly participated in the industry through in-house developments, acquisitions, and partnerships, with the major players commonly developing their own proprietary platforms. With advances in technology, companies have scaled rapidly to dominant positions.

Some players made their entrance into the industry marked via acquisitions and partnerships designed to capture market share faster. One of the earliest through this avenue was BlackRock, via the acquisition of robo-advisory startup FutureAdvisor in 2015. More notable recent examples include Goldman Sachs when it acquired United Capital in May 2019 and Empower Retirement when it acquired Personal Capital in June 2020.

Many large incumbents have branched out to develop both robo-advisory services and online trading platforms. Morgan Stanley, for instance, developed and launched its own robo-advisory service “Access Investing” in 2017. In 2020, the company entered the online trading space by acquiring E*Trade Financial Corporation.

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Notable Investors


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Market Sizing

The US addressable market for robo-advisory is estimated at USD 71.3 billion

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the actual market is the market size based on revenue projections.
The addressable market for robo-advisory is expected to include the mass affluent population (dominated by baby boomers), Gen Xers, Millennials, and Gen Zers (adjusted to exclude those within the mass affluent category). It’s assumed that 25% of the net assets of the addressable market will be invested via robo-advisory platforms.
This translates to addressable assets under management (AUM) of nearly USD 13.0 trillion, with the mass affluent population accounting for over 70% of it. To arrive at the revenue attributable to operators of the robo-advisory platforms, we have calculated an average management fee of 0.55% of AUM per year—based on the average management fees charged by the key players. Accordingly, the TAM for these platforms stands at USD 71.3 billion.
The actual market for robo-advisory platforms was estimated at ~USD 6.4 billion for 2023. This implies a penetration rate of 9.0%, as independent robo-advisory startups are still focused on a primarily younger clientele. We expect the actual market to increase at a CAGR of 27.0% to around USD  21.3 billion by 2028, with penetration reaching 29.8%.
Our conservative case estimates an actual market of USD 17.4 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 22% and implying a penetration of 24.4%. 
In contrast, our expansion case estimates an actual market of USD 25.8 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 32.0% during this period and translating to 36.2% penetration. In our expansion case, we expect growth to accelerate, as more financial institutions enter the market to meet demand from existing clients and target the growing mass affluent population.

Appendix:

The estimated TAM for robo advisory was based on the mass affluent population and non-mass affluent individuals from Gen X, Millennials, and Gen Z demographic cohorts. The TAM for this segment is calculated after taking the following key factors into account:
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