Prefab Tech

Revolutionizing construction with sustainable practices to build faster

Overview

Prefab gains ground as a sustainable construction technique

Prefabricated construction (prefab) is the manufacture and assembly of building components in an off-site factory which is then transported to construction sites as complete structures or sub-assemblies. This technique is traditionally known for low-cost, low-quality buildings; however, thanks to digital designing tools, advancements in 3D printing, and robotics, it is now becoming a mainstream sustainable construction solution, delivering fast, high-quality results. 

A growing number of startups are coming up with prefab techniques to build all types of structures, including single-family and multi-family residential units as well as commercial buildings. By utilizing fewer resources, generating less waste, and incorporating energy-efficient features into buildings, the aim is to achieve sustainable long-term savings and reduce the environmental impact of construction. 

Industry Updates

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Market Sizing

The US Prefab Tech market could reach USD 40.0 billion–58.8 billion by 2028

Conservative case

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Base case

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Expansion case

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Market Mapping


Residential buildings dominate 

While a few startups operate in multiple segments, a majority specialize in just one. The single-family residential units segment has the highest number of startups, as demand has increased due to remote work becoming the norm. This also stems from the growing need for privacy and the preference for living in suburban or rural areas. 

Incumbent traditional modular housing developers only operate in residential and commercial buildings segments and are yet to move into emerging areas such as 3D printing and sustainable mobile houses. 

While most startups are at the go-to-market and expansion stages,  sustainable mobile houses and fully 3D printed buildings are at the minimum viable product stage as they are still emerging technologies.

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The Disruptors


Speed to market is crucial for leading disruptors

3D-printed house developers ICON, Mighty Buildings, and commercial buildings and structures developers Prescient and Nexii dominate the industry in terms of funding, potentially owing to the relatively high level of capital investments required. Startups in this space distinguish themselves through proprietary construction methods that aim to cut down on build times and labor costs. For example, Mighty Buildings claims it is capable of developing a 350-square-foot home within 24 hours, whereas others typically take a few weeks or months. 

While most companies offer standard floor plans with varying degrees of customization, some startups, such as Dvele, S2A Modular, and EcoCraft Homes, offer fully customized prefab houses. In terms of sustainability, most disruptors offer in-built energy generation facilities, while companies like Connect Homes incorporate third-party solutions at the customer’s discretion.

Funding History

Competitive Analysis


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Incumbents


Traditional house developers move into prefab through acquisitions and in-house innovation

Most incumbents started out as providers of manufactured houses (movable houses, trailer homes, etc.) built on chassis and have been in business for more than 50 years on average. These companies moved into the prefab industry through a mix of acquisition and in-house development to pursue increasing demand for sustainable construction. A majority of these incumbents conform to most of the green/sustainability certifications. 

Out of the incumbents, only TriWest Capital Partners has developed proprietary technology, whereas most disruptors have developed their own technology, covering various aspects such as designing, building systems, material, etc.

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Notable Investors


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Market Sizing

The US addressable market for Prefab Tech is estimated at ~USD 362 billion

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the actual market is the market size based on revenue projections. 
The TAM for the US Prefab Tech market is estimated at USD 362.0 billion. This comprises 1) USD 230.9 billion for single-family residential units, 2) USD 55.8 billion for multi-family residential units, and 3) USD 75.3 billion for commercial buildings.
See the Appendix for more details on the assumptions for the TAM estimates. 
The actual market for Prefab Tech in the US is estimated at USD 35.3 billion in 2023, indicating a penetration rate of 9.8%. This market is expected to grow at a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.9% over 2023–2028 to reach USD 47.0 billion by 2028, translating to a penetration level of 13.0%.

Summary

Our conservative case expects the market to grow at a five-year CAGR of 2.5% to reach USD 40.0 billion by 2028 (11.0% penetration). Slower growth may result from limited access to prefab housing, difficulties transporting large modular parts across long distances, and slower adoption of prefab technology by contractors.
Our expansion case assumes faster-than-expected adoption from Millennials for prefab housing and more government authorities opting to develop affordable multi-family housing. This could also be supported by a reduction in prefab houses price per square foot, allowing mass-scale adoption. An increase in adoption could spur market growth at a higher CAGR of 10.7% to reach USD 58.8 billion in 2028 (16.3% market penetration).
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