Food Waste

Tech solutions for achieving global anti-wastage targets

Overview

Food waste deserves better than landfills

Global food waste continues to rise, and the US alone has seen food waste triple over the past five decades. Consumers have noticed and have begun voicing their concerns and increasingly taking action by demanding attention from corporations and regulatory bodies. The UN and the US governments have set the goal of halving food waste by 2030. This bodes well for a group of companies that are attempting to create a business out of food waste. The food waste management tech ecosystem includes developers of products that 1) prevent food wastage (i.e., reduce the volume of surplus food), 2) optimize food surpluses (resale or donation of food waste and oversupply), and 3) recycle waste for food, beverages, animal feed, or industrial use.

Industry Updates

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Market Sizing

The US food waste management market could reach USD 18.6 billion–25.2 billion by 2027

Conservative case

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Base case

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Expansion case

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Use cases


Food Waste-based solutions are focused primarily in the Consumer Staples industry. This specifically includes the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail subsegment, followed by Agricultural Products and Services. However, we believe use cases across diverse industrial segments like Healthcare, Communication Services and Information Technology are relatively sparse at present, it nevertheless indicates potential for Food Waste solutions to expand within these industries.

The adoption levels for upcycling surplus food/food processing waste/by-products are relatively high, considering they provide a means to generate value from waste that would have typically ended up in a landfill while generating a positive environmental impact and capitalizing on rising consumer demand for upcycled food products. Additionally, demand management/inventory planning solutions have been popular with businesses, as they provide a data-driven approach to streamline operations and minimize waste while delivering financial benefits to businesses.

We have identified key Food Waste use cases below:

Market mapping


Recycling startups account for more than one-third of food waste industry disruptors and incumbents. The majority of these companies focus on recycling food waste into edible food and beverages. Despite having attracted the least amount of funding, these players are at either the go-to-market or expansion stages of product development and customer acquisition. 

Businesses focusing on redistributing surplus food via online platforms represent 33% of the industry’s disruptors and incumbents with several such as Misfits Market and Hungry Harvest reaching relatively high levels of brand awareness.

Waste prevention technology is a highly funded segment of the industry, after redistribution, with funding of around USD 623 million as of March 2021. The majority of these providers offer edible coating, smart packaging, or tracking systems to manage and prevent waste in the early stages of the food supply chain.

Disruptors


Most startups in the food waste management industry focus on recycling food that is being wasted or redistributing them via online platforms. Most of these companies are in the expansion stage, with successfully commercialized products and international expansions underway. In contrast, a smaller number of players focus on food waste prevention technologies such as packaging that extends shelf life, protective food coating, and devices that track and monitor food wastage. These startups are also mostly at the go-to-market or expansion stage and have existed for several years or longer compared to players in the other segment. This dynamic can largely be attributed to the longer timeline required for food protection technologies.

However, food prevention technology companies have attracted nearly USD 623 million in funding, more than the recycling segment of the industry—in part due to high R&D, prototyping, and regulatory costs.

Funding history

Competitive Analysis


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Product Overview
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Product Metrics
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Incumbents


Incumbents are mainly traditional waste management and food industry giants

Most food waste industry incumbents are already established as providers of general waste management services and are now developing smart waste management techniques that involve recycling or redistributing food waste. Some leading food industry companies are also starting to adopt food recycling methods to prevent wastage including Kellog’s, Tyson Foods, Kroger, and Unilever.

There is a lack of incumbent activity in the food prevention technologies or online platform spaces, implying that these are still emerging trends within the industry. However, major IT firms like IBM are developing smart waste management solutions.

Overall, incumbents mostly appear to be developing their food waste management services in-house, although there are a few notable partnerships and acquisitions.

In House Development
M&A
Partnership
Investment
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Notable Investors


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Market Sizing

The addressable US market for food waste management is estimated at USD 110.1 billion

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the actual market is the market size based on revenue projections.
The TAM for the US food waste management industry is estimated to be USD 110.1 billion. This includes: 1) USD 63.1 billion for food redistribution platforms; 2) USD 38.0 billion for food upcycling; and 3) USD 9.0 billion for waste prevention technologies. Our TAM calculation assesses the current volume of food waste and how much it can be reduced through modern methods and techniques.
Overall, our TAM estimates imply a ~25% reduction in food waste sent to landfill per year from the three key methods we analyze. In 2015, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) set a 50% target in food waste reduction by 2030. The new waste management methods (waste prevention tech, redistribution platforms, and upcycling) help to achieve this target, while some share of the target is also likely to be fulfilled by recycling waste into compost or other industrial use, which we estimate to have a much smaller TAM.
The actual market for food waste management is estimated at USD 16.1 billion as of 2022, implying a 14.6% market penetration for the addressable market. Our base case expects the US food waste management market to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.3% to reach USD 21.9 billion by 2027. Single-digit CAGR can be attributed to potentially slow adoption of new methods of waste management over the next five years, given hurdles such as premium pricing and changing perceptions toward the use of these up-and-coming methods.
After we conducted a scenario analysis, our conservative case assumes that there will be no improvement in perceptions toward these new food waste management methods and that recycling and food waste prevention solutions are unlikely to account for a sizable share of food waste management methods. This scenario assumes most food waste would continue to go to landfills and be used as compost or biofuel. In this case, we expect a low single-digit CAGR of 2.8% to reach USD 18.6 billion by 2027, implying a 16.8% market penetration. 
Our expansion case assumes that appropriate government support will inculcate consumers and businesses to have a positive perception toward food waste,  and stabilizing prices of upcycled food will lead to an increase in adoption. leading to a higher CAGR of ~9.3%, reaching USD 25.2 billion by 2027, a penetration rate of 22.8%.
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