Analyst Take: Next-gen Climate & Energy funding recovered from a three-year low in the previous quarter (+35% QoQ), led by increases in Alternative Energy (+103% QoQ) and CCUS (+43% QoQ). The two industries accounted for ~95% of total funding. Long-duration batteries remained an investor hotspot, raising ~USD 527 million (~26% of total funding), while fusion startups surged (6.4x QoQ) on the back of regulatory tailwinds. Twelve’s USD 645 million (~31% of total funding) raise to bring its SAF production facility into operation was notable. CCUS funding strengthened for the third consecutive quarter amid favorable climate disclosure laws and the rising demand for carbon offsets.Funding across all other industries dropped. CMS funding hit a four-year low, defying expectations of an uptick following the SEC’s climate disclosure mandate earlier this year. We believe this could be due to the industry factoring in the new law's impact during the two-year delay in approval. Investors also could be cautious ahead of the US elections, with a Republican presidency hinting at potential sustainability rollbacks.
Analyst Take: The expansion of DAC-related R&D capabilities through new facility openings was a notable theme, with Deep Sky beginning construction on the world's first carbon removal innovation and commercialization center. NeoCarbon, Avnos, and Carbon Engineering also opened new laboratories and R&D facilities. The R&D efforts are likely to focus on cost reduction, which has been a key barrier to the technology’s adoption. The cost of DAC has been estimated at USD 600–1,000 per metric ton, compared with USD 15–120 for flue gas capture.In the meantime, CarbonCapture suspended its planned DAC mega facility (Project Bison) and is looking to relocate closer to data center operations. It plans to leverage the growing demand for carbon offsets from technology companies such as Microsoft and Amazon.Hydrogen mobility startups continued to focus on advancing mobility solutions, ranging from the launch of Hyzon’s new hydrogen trucks and Riversimple’s plans for hydrogen supercars to the expansion of Nikola’s refueling station network in North America. We tracked AI integration across several climate and energy industries, with use cases spanning weather forecasting models (NVIDIA’s and ZestyAI), carbon management platforms (Measurabl), energy demand response programs (Voltus), and hydrogen production efficiency monitoring (ZeroAvia).
Analyst Take: Similar to the trend we observed in funding and product activity, CCUS collaborations maintained a healthy momentum. Disruptors such as 8 Rivers, HIF Global, and Carbicrete focused on advancing carbon utilization pathways, while companies such as LanzaTech and Storegga Geotechnologies partnered to build CCS facilities in Asia. Carbon capture has been gaining traction in Asia, with large emitters such as China, Japan, and South Korea looking to decarbonize key industries (steel, cement, chemicals, etc.). CDR agreements were also a point of interest, with Microsoft signing several (totaling over 530,000 tons with four disruptors), including with 1PointFive and Lithos Carbon, highlighting the growing interest in CCUS as a quick fix to the climate problem.Hydrogen mobility was also a recurring theme, with ZeroAvia signing several customer agreements to provide hydrogen-based engines and Nikola Motor expanding its hydrogen refueling operations. We also tracked collaborations related to green hydrogen, with companies such as ITM Power and Elcogen signing electrolyzer agreements and Lhyfe joining a Swedish hydrogen-based industrial cluster. Supportive legislation (US 45V Hydrogen Production Tax Credit and EU Clean Hydrogen Acts) in recent quarters may have encouraged these.
Analyst Take: We observed three M&A deals (vs. seven in Q2) across the CMS, Hydrogen, and Alternative Energy industries. Changeblock’s acquisition of JustCarbon signals further consolidation within the carbon market, following the acquisitions of Sustain.Life, Traace, and Bluebird Climate last quarter. Atawey’s expansion of its hydrogen refueling facilities falls in line with the overall push for advancing hydrogen mobility, with others in the industry such as Nikola striving similarly to establish their presence in North America. Meanwhile, bp’s investment in new SAF facilities in China signals its interest in establishing a global foothold in next-gen renewable energies.
Analyst Take: The signing of the Fusion Energy Act of 2023 during the quarter finalized steps taken by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission in April 2023 to regulate fusion differently from the traditional nuclear (fission) industry. The US became only the second country to enact specific fusion regulations into law, following the UK’s fusion regulations in October 2023.The original framework, under which both fission and fusion energy were grouped, outlined extensive requirements for nuclear reactors and was designed for higher-risk technologies. This was rather unnecessary, as fusion (unlike fission) does not result in long-lived radioactive waste. The new Act identifies the radioactive materials associated with fusion as “byproduct material,” as opposed to “special nuclear material,” thus needing fewer regulatory requirements than nuclear materials associated with fission reactors such as uranium or plutonium.The proposed Marine Act to provide financial support of up to USD 1 billion to advance marine energy was also notable. The decision comes on the back of the Wave Energy Feasibility Assessment Bill signed in September 2023, which directed the California Energy Commission to evaluate the feasibility, costs, and benefits of harnessing wave and tidal energy along California’s coastline. Wave and tidal energy reportedly have the potential to meet up to 30% of US energy needs (from around 1% currently).
Analyst Take: R&D collaborations and product advancements slowed, but we saw record investments (USD 272.2 million) into fusion startups such as Marvel Fusion, Zap Energy, General Fusion, and Type One Energy to advance fusion models. These drove an uptick in funding. CCUS disruptors also made notable contributions, with the likes of Air Company, Mantel, and 44.01 raising funds for demonstration projects. Expanding DAC-related R&D capabilities by opening facilities (such as Deep Sky beginning construction on the world's first carbon removal innovation and commercialization center) and the integration of AI into several climate and energy industries were notable highlights.Inbound activities attracted the most investment, led primarily by Twelve’s USD 645 million fundraise to complete its ethanol-to-SAF plant as well as other biofuel investments. Green hydrogen producers and component manufacturers dominated collaborations in the space. These included Lhyfe, HDF Energy, Ohmium, and Elcogen partnering to expand their production footprint as well as Nikola expanding its hydrogen refueling business.Production and operations activities continued to focus on hydrogen vehicles and aviation, with ZeroAvia establishing multiple customer agreements and disruptors such as Hyzon and Riversimple unveiling new hydrogen vehicles. Similar to previous quarters, outbound activities were driven by battery producers such as 24M Technologies, Eos Energy, and Fluence launching new manufacturing facilities and several mega deals by Form Energy and esVolta. Support activities were buoyed by steady investment and activity in the CCUS industry despite slumps across all the CMS areas. Most notably, CCUS disruptors focused on advancing carbon utilization pathways, building CCS facilities in Asia, and signing multiple CDR agreements with industry giants like Microsoft.
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