Analyst take: This quarter marked a milestone for EU regulators, who reached an agreement on the Artificial Intelligence Act. The European Parliament still needs to vote on it, but this is only a formality, according to an Italian lawmaker involved in the negotiations. Unlike the EU, the US is still at the initial discussion state in terms of safeguards for AI. This quarter, the Biden Administration took action by issuing an executive order signed by the President in line with the voluntary pledges made by tech companies on safe, secure, and trustworthy AI. China, which implemented regulations in the previous quarter, aims to advance its regulatory stance by striking a balance between harnessing the benefits of AI and mitigating the risks. Interestingly, the Beijing Internet Court's decision on granting copyright to AI-generated images could have far-reaching implications on the use of AI technology.
Analyst take: Key players like OpenAI and Anthropic in the Foundation Models space are actively looking to solidify their positions, evident by their recent efforts to secure additional funding. For instance, OpenAI is reportedly seeking funding that could potentially value the company at over USD 100 billion. Meanwhile, Anthropic set a significant milestone by raising funds five times in a year from tech giants like Amazon and Google, marking itself as the first company in the GenAI space to achieve this feat. Interestingly, newcomers such as Aleph Alpha, 01.AI, and Mistral AI are making a notable impact by injecting healthy competition into the market, securing substantial amounts of funding.
Analyst take: While overall funding in the infrastructure space declined compared with the previous quarter, the hardware infrastructure sector thrived, with an increase of 41% from the previous quarter. This segment also marked the highest count of funding rounds reported in a quarter since 2021. In response to the rising demand for AI chips with substantial computational capabilities, companies like Lightmatter are entering the domain, highlighted by the significant funds raised within the quarter.
Analyst take: According to a recent US survey, two-thirds of companies have made GenAI tools available to the workforce, with the aim of improving productivity. This move seems to correlate with the increased funding observed among companies in the business process improvement segment, which contributed almost half of the funds raised within the GenAI Applications space during the quarter. Notably, in the business process improvement segment, this quarter alone had equal funding rounds to those of the cumulative funding rounds within the first nine months of 2023.
Analyst take: Repeat rounds, such as in the case of Anthropic, which reported five funding rounds in 2023, indicate sustained investor interest and a push to strengthen expertise and product deployment in GenAI.
Analyst take: Several disruptors, including OpenAI, Anthropic, and Inflection AI, alongside established players like Google, unveiled the next iterations of their existing models, showcasing advanced features and functionalities. Another notable update during the quarter was the launch of foundation models that can run on devices. In this regard, Stability AI launched two new enhanced models, StableLM Zephyr 3B and Stable LM 3B, targeting portable devices. Samsung too launched a model that can be applied on device. GenAI running directly on devices has been identified as crucial for scalability, privacy, and optimal performance.
Analyst take: The highlight of the infrastructure space this quarter was the launch of new AI chips with advanced capabilities. While the space is inherently dominated by incumbents, interestingly, several disruptors, including Preferred Networks and Kinara, entered the space. Meanwhile, Google unveiled an AI model trained on custom silicon chips, while Microsoft launched its in-house designed AI chips. Notably, OpenAI was looking to create its own AI chips that would place it in a select league of major tech entities. The decision for OpenAI to proceed with developing its own chips remains uncertain, and such a move would signify a significant strategic endeavor and require substantial investment.
Analyst take: The space saw two notable OpenAI competitors (for ChatGPT) emerge: xAI’s Grok and Reka’s Yasa-1. In response to increasing competition, OpenAI has stayed a step ahead by introducing additional multimodal features including voice capabilities. The company also introduced updates to customize chatbots and relaunched its web browsing capabilities. Incumbents including Google and Microsoft also effectively responded to this by introducing more features to their chatbots and expanding access to mobile devices via the launch of mobile apps.
Analyst take: As models advance, companies are increasingly seeking larger datasets for training purposes. Despite privacy concerns, OpenAI persisted in partnering with news companies for model training. Concurrently, various disruptors like Assembly AI, Cohere, and Mistral AI joined forces with Cloud providers to make their models more accessible. This expansion broadens model choices for building and scaling enterprise-ready GenAI on the cloud, simplifying the development process while ensuring privacy and security. Notably, both disruptors and established players showed a keen interest in on-premise deployment, as demonstrated by Hugging Face and Meta's collaboration with Dell.
Analyst take: Most partnerships by established players were with cloud infrastructure providers such as Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud, and Amazon Bedrock to leverage their cloud-based infrastructure and the foundation models available on them to develop GenAI solutions.
Analyst take: Most partnerships among established players primarily involved customers, suggesting the rising adoption of GenAI solutions. Meanwhile, disruptors concentrated on broadening solution accessibility through partnerships with distributors and cloud service providers. Additionally, collaborations between incumbents and disruptors highlighted the recognized value of joint efforts in enhancing product offerings within the space.
Analyst take: Established industry leaders partnered with GenAI startups for many reasons, including: 1) to extend their product accessibility across cloud marketplaces, 2) to enhance and refine existing solutions, and 3) to collaborate on the development and delivery of integrated technologies.
Analyst take: In Q4 2023, the GenAI space experienced a significant improvement in M&A activities (four compared with two last quarter). The highlight was an incumbent (Adobe) acquiring a disruptor (Rephrase) in the GenAI Applications space. All three other M&A activities were reported from the GenAI Infrastructure space, with Databricks recording its second large acquisition in four months (following MosaicML).
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