Plant-based Dairy & Egg

A booming food and beverage segment with a history as rich and varied as its present-day product offerings

Overview

Consumers across the US and beyond are already well acquainted with plant-based dairy products. From the first commercial soy milk facility in 1917 in New York to Sweden’s Oatly oat milk taking coffee shop culture by storm, consumers have demonstrated an almost singular openness to experimenting with plant-based substitutes. Now experimentation is beginning to expand beyond the grocery store milk aisle to all aspects of dairy and egg products. 

Plant-based dairy and egg (PBD&E) products currently under development incorporate a broad range of ingredients, including peas, mung beans, soybeans, chickpeas, almonds, coconut, sunflowers, potatoes, and sesame, among others. These alternatives are vying to replace traditional cheese, yogurt, ice cream, butter, spreads, and creamers, while a wave of new startups are attempting to produce a substitute for chicken eggs. 

This revolution is being driven by an increasing focus on health, animal welfare, and climate change. Outbreaks of zoonotic diseases, such as Covid-19 and the African swine fever, have also drawn attention to the growing animal-free food production industry, with plant-based foods taking center stage.

In addition, there have been recent developments in cell-cultured milk production, with a few companies leveraging cellular agriculture to not only develop sustainable alternatives to cow’s milk but also human breast milk. These products have not been commercialized yet and need to overcome regulatory hurdles as well as cost implications before reaching the market.

Industry Updates

View all updatesicon
Market Sizing

The US Plant-based Dairy & Egg market could reach USD 6.1 billion–8.9 billion by 2027

Conservative case

USD 0.0 Bn

Base case

USD 0.0 Bn

Expansion case

USD 0.0 Bn

Market Mapping


Most plant-based dairy startups focus on milk and cheese substitutes, while plant-based butter has attracted less activity partly due to consumer aversion to plant-based fats over health concerns. Disruptors attempting to develop plant-based dairy alternatives from new ingredients—beyond a standard set of soy, almond, cashew, coconut, and oats—have attracted significantly more funding compared with the rest of the industry.

More than half of the plant-based dairy startups we analyzed have brought a product to market, with a few companies reaching the expansion stage of business development. Although initially slower compared with dairy, the plant-based egg industry has made headway with several companies successfully launching alternative egg products.

Incumbents
Expansion
Go-to-Market
Minimum Viable Product
Ideation
?
Ingredient supplier
?
Milk
?
Cheese
?
Butter
?
Ice cream
?
Yogurt
?
Egg
?
Time-Travelling
Time-Travelling
Time-Travelling
Time-Travelling
Time-Travelling
Time-Travelling
Time-Travelling

The Disruptors


Oatly, a Swedish alternative dairy brand, leads the plant-based dairy space with a market capitalization of USD 616.9 million, as of November 2023. Among startups, expansion-stage companies Perfect Day (USD 712 million), NotCo (USD 433 million), and Ripple Foods (USD 264 million) secured significant funding. These startups have introduced products across various segments such as plant-based milk, cheese, ice cream, and yogurt.

Established plant-based meat companies are also leveraging their expertise to produce plant-based dairy. Fazenda Futuro launched Futuro Aveia, a new range of oat beverages, in July 2023, while Nature’s Fynd launched a dairy-free cream cheese made using Fy protein in February 2021.

Eat JUST, with its widely available flagship product, “JUST Egg”, leads the alternative eggs industry with a 99% market share, having sold ~400 million egg equivalents, as of September 2023. The company has raised USD 6.5 billion to develop alternative eggs and cell-cultured meat products. 

The market currently offers limited alternatives to chicken eggs compared with dairy substitutes. This is because replicating the complex chemical structures found in eggs presents a challenge. While products such as JUST Egg have specific use cases, they lack the versatility of traditional eggs. However, industry disruptors are actively working toward creating identical physical forms of eggs. Once this achievement is reached, we expect a rise in new egg substitute products entering the market.

Funding History

Competitive Analysis


Filter by a segment or companies of your choice
expand
 
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Product Overview
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Product Metrics
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Company profile
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
-
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...

Incumbents


Plant-based dairy: All incumbents in the plant-based dairy space have released in-house developed products into the market using their R&D capabilities and industry expertise. Most companies have turned to almond milk as the main protein source for their plant-based dairy products, pivoting from the initial industry favorite of soy milk. In recent years, oat milk has gained traction in the market due to its similar taste and texture to cow’s milk.

Direct investments and partnerships are two widely used strategies by large CPG companies to expand their presence in the plant-based dairy space. Danone leads in this area with the most investments and several M&As. The collaboration between Kraft Heinz and NotCo stands out among the partnerships that have emerged within the sector.

Plant-based egg: Plant-based eggs are still nascent compared with plant-based dairy and have a far smaller incumbent presence. Nestlé's liquid egg alternative under its Garden Gourmet brand and Upfield Group’s partnership with OGGS are among the reported incumbent activities in this space.

In House Development
M&A
Partnership
Investment
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...
Loading...

Notable Investors


?
Funding data are powered by Crunchbase
arrow
menuarrow
close

Contact us

Gain access to all industry hubs, market maps, research tools, and more
Get a demo

Market Sizing

The US addressable market for Plant-based Dairy & Egg is estimated at USD 66 billion

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the obtained market is the actual market size based on revenue projections. As such, we have defined the TAM as the cumulative spend by customers on plant-based dairy and eggs (PBD&E). Our USD 66 billion addressable market for PBD&E consolidates the two individual addressable market sizes we have analyzed below.

Plant-based dairy: The US addressable market is estimated at USD 52.6 billion 

Our addressable market for plant-based dairy is based on the number of US households already consuming these products and an estimate of households that may potentially consume them. We arrived at an affordability adjustment for the addressable market by considering household income levels and average household spending on a dairy basket composed of milk, butter, cheese, ice cream, and yogurt. Assuming a constant level of household dairy consumption at current plant-based dairy retail prices, our addressable market for plant-based dairy stands at USD 52.6 billion.
Based on 2022 retail sales of USD 4 billion, the current penetration level of plant-based dairy in the US stands at 7.6%, with plant-based milk leading the way with a 17% penetration level. We expect the plant-based dairy obtained market to grow at a 12.6% CAGR during 2022–2027 to reach USD 7.2 billion and a penetration rate of 13.8%. Our conservative case assumes slower development of other plant-based dairy alternatives, such as butter, cheese, yogurt, and ice cream, that match the texture and taste profiles of animal dairy. It also assumes a delayed entry into the market. With current premium pricing remaining high, a delayed entry into the market would lead to a penetration of 11.3% and an obtained market estimate of USD 5.9 billion. On the other hand, our expansion case considers earlier development of animal-similar taste profiles and a faster reduction in premium pricing relative to the current plant-based dairy retail prices—driven by mass production and acceptance. This would result in a 16.3% penetration and an obtained market size of USD 8.6 billion.

Plant-based eggs: The US addressable market is estimated at USD 13.4 billion 

Chicken eggs are processed to produce consumer goods such as cereal and cake mixes that are ultimately consumed by nearly all US households. This means that besides retail and foodservice sales, food processing is also a primary sales channel for plant-based eggs. We expect the retail and foodservice sales of plant-based eggs to be based on flexitarian (close to 47% of US households) and vegetarian/vegan (6%) households in the US and the market from food processing sales to be addressable to all US households. Considering 2022 prices from plant-based egg brands, we have assumed a long-term price of USD 0.6 per egg equivalent. Our addressable market size for plant-based eggs stands at USD 13.4 billion, assuming per capita egg consumption remains at 2022 levels. 
Click here to learn more
Get a demo

By using this site, you agree to allow SPEEDA Edge and our partners to use cookies for analytics and personalization. Visit our privacy policy for more information about our data collection practices.