EdTech: K-12

Remote learning is driving an education technology revolution.

Overview

Education Technology (EdTech) refers to teaching and learning materials and processes using technological tools and applications. The terms online learning and e-learning are often interchangeable with EdTech and encompass digital educational tools and the internet, where students and teachers interact and course material is distributed. Instruction may happen solely online or include some face-to-face interaction (called “blended” or “hybrid” learning). While the industry spans from early education to adult learners, the focus of this report is the K-12 end-user market.

Online learning is not a new concept; however, it has experienced a tremendous surge due to school closures following the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Despite the advantages of online learning, there are also significant challenges, and sustained growth post pandemic is far from guaranteed.

Industry Updates

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Market Sizing

The US EdTech K-12 market could reach USD 18.3 billion–26.2 billion by 2028

Conservative case

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Base case

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Market Mapping


The EdTech market for K-12 students can be categorized broadly into online school operators, content providers, and technology providers. The industry is dominated by incumbents that have grown both organically and via acquisition as well as large technology companies that have expanded into the education space.

Incumbents
Expansion
Go-to-Market
Minimum Viable Product
Ideation
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GenAI-based EdTech: K12 solutions
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Curricular learning
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Online school operators
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Extra-curricular learning; college and career readiness
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Language learning and literacy tools
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Tutoring support
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Early childhood; special ed; SEL
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Delivery and analytics platforms; admin and services
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Teacher resources; testing and assessment tools
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Communication and networking; reference and marketplace
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PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning
PresenceLearning

The Disruptors


The K-12 online learning space is inundated with players offering a variety of platforms, products, and solutions. Among these are applications with unique offerings or unusual ways of delivering solutions, some of which are featured below.

In the online school operator space, Stride, Inc. is one of the top two education management organizations (EMOs) in the US alongside incumbent Pearson. Content-based product and technology-based product providers usually develop their own products and are varied in terms of what they offer. They are also diverse in terms of funding with some being non-profit based, being funded by government agencies, universities or foundations. Some of the key disruptors we have identified include Kahoot!, Duolingo, Age of Learning, DreamBox Learning, Blackboard, Canvas, Moodle, and Brightspace.

Funding History

Competitive Analysis


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Product Metrics
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Incumbents


Developing in-house technology seems the norm

Online school operators are mostly for-profit corporations that run state-funded, tuition-free schools as an alternative to traditional public schools. The main players in this space have built their own platforms. Pearson is one of the top two education management organizations (EMOs) in the US.

Content-based product providers offer a variety of curricular and extracurricular classes to enhance students’ traditional education. They can be further categorized into curriculum-based learning, language or technology learning, test preparation and tutoring, early childhood or special education, and so on. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (HMH), McGraw-Hill Education, and Cengage are top providers in this space reaching a large share of US school districts, teachers, and students. As established providers of content and learning solutions for students, instructors, professionals, and institutions, they have extended their offerings to include digital platforms.

Technology-based product providers can be further categorized into learning management systems (LMS), testing and assessment, operational, reference and search, and networking. Incumbents in this space include global technology companies such as Google, Microsoft, and Amazon who have introduced various digital solutions for the education sector.

In House Development
M&A
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Notable Investors


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Market Sizing

The total addressable market  size for US EdTech K-12 is estimated at ~USD 47.4 billion

The total addressable market (TAM) refers to the total revenue opportunity available for a product or service, while the actual market is the market size based on revenue projections.
The addressable market for the K-12 segment of the EdTech market is estimated separately for content-based products and technology-based products (the segments where disruptors are mainly found). 
Each product group segment, in turn, was analyzed by the customer group: parents (of children either attending public and private schools or homeschooled) and schools (public and private). Teachers’ spend is assumed to be reimbursed by schools. Based on potential spend per student and projected student population, the total addressable market for learning content products and learning management and support products is estimated to be USD 25.9 billion and USD 21.5 billion, respectively.

US EdTech K-12 TAM estimated at USD 47.4 billion

Using estimates of actual spend per student, the markets for learning content products and learning management and support products stood at USD 8.1 billion and USD 6.5 billion in 2023, respectively, implying penetration rates of 31.1% and 30.0%. The markets for learning content products and learning management and support products are expected to reach USD 11.8 billion and USD 9.5 billion, respectively, in 2028E, recording compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) of 7.9% and 8.1%. This growth is based on an increasing share of students using digital learning tools in and outside the classroom and increasing spend per student.
The sudden and rapid adoption of digital learning methods as a result of the pandemic should help future market growth. Therefore, a sensitivity test was conducted based on 1) the pace at which students adopt digital learning tools in class and outside school and 2) the rate of growth of spend per student.

APPENDIX: TAM calculation by segments

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